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Rezekne vs Gulbene

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1. Liga 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2014 game between Rezekne and Gulbene finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gulbene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rezekne
15%
Draws
85%
Gulbene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gulbene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gulbene haven't matched Rezekne's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gulbene's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Gulbene Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Gulbene
Matches Played 41 5
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 24 1
Goals Scored 1.95 3.6
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2015 League Cup
Gulbene vs Rezekne
1:2
Feb 5, 2015 League Cup
Rezekne vs Gulbene
3:5
Oct 18, 2014 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Gulbene
1:4
Jun 21, 2014 1. Liga
Gulbene vs Rezekne
0:0
Nov 3, 2013 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Gulbene
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 18 / 100
Gulbene 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Gulbene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gulbene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Rezekne found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (41 games).

Defensive concern: Gulbene conceded in 40% of 5 recent games.

Gulbene lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
01 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Rezekne
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
19 Jul
FK Smiltene
1 : 0
Rezekne
Page 1 of 9

Gulbene

(Away)
18 Jun
Gulbene
1 : 5
FK Karosta
04 Jun
Bauskas / Memele
0 : 3
Gulbene
12 Oct
Gulbene
8 : 0
Plavinas
16 Aug
Gulbene
5 : 1
SFK United
20 Apr
SFK United
0 : 1
Gulbene

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gulbene 30 27 3 0 128:11 84
2 Rezekne 30 25 2 3 118:27 77
3 Valmiera 30 22 2 6 105:34 68
4 FK 1625 Liepaja 30 21 4 5 87:34 67
5 RFS 30 18 4 8 104:39 58
6 FK Auda Riga 30 18 1 11 68:42 55
7 Tukums 2000 30 15 5 10 88:53 50
8 Ogre 30 11 4 15 60:50 37
9 Jekabpils SC 30 10 7 13 50:71 37
10 Preilu BJSS 30 10 1 19 60:92 31
11 AFA Olaine 30 8 6 16 51:81 30
12 SFK United 30 7 8 15 38:56 29
13 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 30 8 1 21 37:86 25
14 FK Smiltene 30 5 9 16 37:77 24
15 Salaspils FK 30 2 7 21 24:84 13
16 Plavinas 30 0 2 28 10:228 2
Promotion - Virslīga 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)