Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Rezekne

2 - 1

Marupe

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Petrovs A.

17'

Strauss G.

61'

Sub

Korsaks K. In: Sula M.

Out: Korsaks K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Rezekne and Marupe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezekne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Rezekne

39%

Draws

30%

Marupe

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Rezekne haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rezekne	Marupe
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	12
Draws	6	2
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Marupe vs Rezekne

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Oct 5, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Marupe

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

May 24, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Marupe vs Rezekne

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Oct 19, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Marupe vs Rezekne

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jun 30, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Marupe

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovs A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aogaki S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Strauss G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 30 / 100

Marupe 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rezekne Marupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marupe let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Marupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS Marupe

1.13 Goals Scored 1.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14