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Rezekne vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Grazis A.
47' Event
Buks R.
52' Event
Kovalovs A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rezekne
6%
Draws
90%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Rezekne.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riga Mariners here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Riga Mariners
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.13 3
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs Riga Mariners
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga Mariners vs Rezekne
6:0
Jun 14, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs Riga Mariners
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Buks R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalovs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Riga Mariners

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Rezekne's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Riga Mariners conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Rezekne remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS Riga Mariners
1.13 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334