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Rezekne vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Grazis A.
47' Event
Buks R.
52' Event
Kovalovs A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rezekne
15%
Draws
78%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Rezekne.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riga Mariners here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Riga Mariners
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 22
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Rezekne
5:0
May 2, 2026 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Riga Mariners
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Rezekne
6:0
Jun 14, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Riga Mariners
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Buks R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalovs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Rezekne's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Riga Mariners conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Rezekne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS Riga Mariners
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
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Riga Mariners

(Away)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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