Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rezekne vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rezekne play Skanste in the Nakotnes liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rezekne averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Skanste averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Rezekne won 1, Skanste won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Rezekne and 2.06 for Skanste. This points to a Skanste double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rezekne
19%
Draws
54%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Rezekne picked up more points recently compared to Skanste.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Skanste Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Skanste
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs Skanste
1:6
Sep 21, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs Skanste
1:2
May 10, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Rezekne
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs Skanste
1:0
May 4, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Rezekne
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivenkovs P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Livcans L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salijums M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 26 / 100
Skanste 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Skanste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Skanste & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rezekne attacking → ← attacking Skanste

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Skanste let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Rezekne went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Skanste lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1141620:2113
10RFS 21223715:269
11Tukums 2000 21222816:318
12JFK Ventspils1114612:207
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334