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RFC Liege U21 vs Lommel SK U21

Belgium Belgium

Pro League U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Nieki N.
39' Event
Abazar I.
43' Event
Iken A.

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK U21 in this Pro League U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lommel SK U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RFC Liege U21
15%
Draws
58%
Lommel SK U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommel SK U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lommel SK U21 lately — more wins on the board than RFC Liege U21.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Lommel SK U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
RFC Liege U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Lommel SK U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFC Liege U21 Lommel SK U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 24 5
Goals Scored 1.19 2.19
Goals Conceded 3.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Pro League U21
Lommel SK U21 vs RFC Liege U21
3:0
Nov 28, 2025 Pro League U21
RFC Liege U21 vs Lommel SK U21
1:4
Apr 18, 2024 Pro League U21
RFC Liege U21 vs Lommel SK U21
2:0
Dec 4, 2023 Pro League U21
Lommel SK U21 vs RFC Liege U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFC Liege U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iken A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lommel SK U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieki N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abazar I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFC Liege U21 10 / 100
Lommel SK U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFC Liege U21 Lommel SK U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommel SK U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

RFC Liege U21 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Lommel SK U21 conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

RFC Liege U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFC Liege U21 VS Lommel SK U21
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFC Liege U21

(Home)
11 Sept
RFC Liege U21
1 : 0
Kortrijk U21
04 Sept
SK Beveren U21
6 : 0
RFC Liege U21
28 Aug
RFC Liege U21
1 : 2
RFC Seraing U21
09 Aug
Verlaine
1 : 3
RFC Liege U21
15 May
RFC Liege U21
0 : 7
Westerlo U21
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Lommel SK U21

(Away)
15 May
Lierse SK U21
2 : 4
Lommel SK U21
08 May
Lommel SK U21
3 : 0
RFC Liege U21
24 Apr
OC Charleroi U21
0 : 3
Lommel SK U21
10 Apr
SK Beveren U21
2 : 2
Lommel SK U21
03 Apr
Francs Borains U21
1 : 2
Lommel SK U21
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