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RFC Liege vs Francs Borains - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Stade de Rocourt, Liège
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Match Events

37'
Faucon E.
47' Event
Bastian M.
64' Event
Ruiz Atil K.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between RFC Liege and Francs Borains finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francs Borains.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
RFC Liege
30%
Draws
47%
Francs Borains
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Francs Borains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Francs Borains carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 20%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFC Liege Francs Borains
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Francs Borains
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Francs Borains
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs RFC Liege
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Francs Borains
0:1
Oct 18, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs RFC Liege
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFC Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz Atil K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Francs Borains Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastian M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lavie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFC Liege 32 / 100
Francs Borains 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFC Liege Francs Borains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francs Borains Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RFC Liege scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Francs Borains has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: RFC Liege remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RFC Liege VS Francs Borains
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RFC Liege

(Home)
01 Oct
Bissen
2 : 2
RFC Liege
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1
Wellen
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4
Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
Page 1 of 6

Francs Borains

(Away)
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2
Anderlecht U23
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
2 Dender 6 5 0 1 8:2 15
3 Eupen 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
4 Francs Borains 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
5 Virton 5 3 1 1 8:2 10
6 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
7 Hasselt 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
8 Club Brugge U23 5 2 2 1 11:10 8
9 Genk U23 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
10 RFC Liege 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
11 Gent U23 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
12 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
13 Patro Eisden 6 1 0 5 7:12 3
14 RFC Seraing 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
15 Anderlecht U23 6 0 1 5 7:15 1
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