Sport Picks
RFC Liege vs OC Charleroi Prediction & H2H Stats
Belgium
Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Stade de Rocourt, Liège 
Match Events
7'
7'
Arslan A.
31'
31'
Thea A.
42'
42'
Hazard K.
Assist: Wasinski M.
AI Match Summary
RFC Liege in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFC Liege.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to RFC Liege lately — more wins on the board than OC Charleroi.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on RFC Liege taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 16%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RFC Liege | OC Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs OC Charleroi
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Challenger Pro League
OC Charleroi vs RFC Liege
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 National Division 1
RFC Liege vs OC Charleroi
2:1
Oct 1, 2022 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs RFC Liege
0:0
Apr 30, 2022 National Division 1
RFC Liege vs OC Charleroi
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RFC Liege Compare
Top Goalscorer Arslan A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hazard K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
OC Charleroi Compare
Top Goalscorer Dailly N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RFC Liege 48 / 100
OC Charleroi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RFC Liege OC Charleroi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RFC Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
OC Charleroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 26 matches.
RFC Liege's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
RFC Liege has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
RFC Liege VS OC Charleroi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
RFC Liege
(Home) 01 Oct
Bissen
2 : 2 RFC Liege
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1 Wellen
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1 RFC Liege
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4 Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0 RFC Liege
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1 Wellen
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4 Club Brugge U23
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2 Dender
17 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2 Francs Borains
04 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 1 Stockay-Warfusee
Page 1 of 3
OC Charleroi
(Away) 03 Oct
OC Charleroi
1 : 1 Meux
30 Sept
Flenu
3 : 4 OC Charleroi
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2 Habay La Neuve
19 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 3 Tubize-Braine
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1 St. Gilloise 2
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Flenu
3 : 4 OC Charleroi
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0 OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2 OC Charleroi
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1 OC Charleroi
28 Jun
Onhaye
1 : 5 OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Beveren | 32 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 74:23 | 88 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 59:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:31 | 64 |
| 4 | RFC Liege | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 44:39 | 53 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 6 | Patro Eisden | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 44:40 | 51 |
| 7 | Eupen | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 44:36 | 47 |
| 8 | Sporting Lokeren | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 48:45 | 42 |
| 9 | Gent U23 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 42:51 | 41 |
| 10 | Lierse SK | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:42 | 38 |
| 11 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Francs Borains | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | 34 |
| 13 | RWDM Brussels | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 50:54 | 33 |
| 14 | Anderlecht U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 31 |
| 15 | Genk U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 42:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Club Brugge U23 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 33:55 | 21 |
| 17 | OC Charleroi | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 26:68 | 16 |
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