Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFC Liege vs St. Truiden

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Diouf O.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between RFC Liege and St. Truiden finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Truiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
RFC Liege
20%
Draws
44%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Truiden come out ahead of RFC Liege on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on RFC Liege taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and St. Truiden have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 14%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFC Liege St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
RFC Liege vs St. Truiden
0:1
Jul 9, 2016 Club Friendly
RFC Liege vs St. Truiden
0:1
Feb 8, 2009 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs St. Truiden
1:2
Sep 20, 2008 Challenger Pro League
St. Truiden vs RFC Liege
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFC Liege Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Diouf O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFC Liege 41 / 100
St. Truiden 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFC Liege St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RFC Liege scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Truiden conceded in 69% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: RFC Liege stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFC Liege VS St. Truiden
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RFC Liege

(Home)
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4
Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
23 Aug
Genk U23
2 : 3
RFC Liege
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St. Truiden

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
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