Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Hazard K.
41'
41'
D'Ostilio J.
55'
55'
Bruggeman B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RFC Liege
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wellen come out ahead of RFC Liege on wins alone.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on RFC Liege taking it.
- Wellen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor RFC Liege, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 16%
Wellen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RFC Liege | Wellen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Belgian Cup
RFC Liege vs Wellen
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RFC Liege Compare
Top Goalscorer Hazard K.
1 Goals Assists Leader D'Ostilio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Wellen Compare
Top Goalscorer Okoka Saka D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RFC Liege 48 / 100
Wellen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RFC Liege Wellen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RFC Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
RFC Liege's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Wellen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Solid form: RFC Liege remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
RFC Liege VS Wellen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
RFC Liege
(Home) 01 Oct
Bissen
2 : 2 RFC Liege
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1 Wellen
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1 RFC Liege
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4 Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0 RFC Liege
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1 Wellen
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4 Club Brugge U23
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2 Dender
17 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2 Francs Borains
04 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 1 Stockay-Warfusee
Page 1 of 3
Wellen
(Away) 03 Oct
Overijse
3 : 1 Wellen
30 Sept
Wellen
2 : 3 KRC Mechelen
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1 Wellen
19 Sept
Nijlen
1 : 1 Wellen
12 Sept
Wellen
2 : 3 Hades
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Overijse
3 : 1 Wellen
27 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 1 Wellen
19 Sept
Nijlen
1 : 1 Wellen
05 Sept
KVC Wilrijk
2 : 4 Wellen
18 Apr
Cappellen
2 : 1 Wellen
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
