Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFC Seraing vs Leuven

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Stade du Pairay, Seraing
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kaba S.
14'
Solheid N.
24'
Opoku D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
RFC Seraing
15%
Draws
12%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFC Seraing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • RFC Seraing have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Leuven are scoring more at 1.47.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on RFC Seraing taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Leuven, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leuven have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
RFC Seraing Clean Sheet 10%
Leuven Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFC Seraing Leuven
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Belgian Cup
RFC Seraing vs Leuven
1:3
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Leuven vs RFC Seraing
2:1
Oct 30, 2024 Belgian Cup
Leuven vs RFC Seraing
2:0
Feb 4, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
RFC Seraing vs Leuven
2:1
Nov 11, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs RFC Seraing
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFC Seraing Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaba S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Traore A. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFC Seraing 83 / 100
Leuven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFC Seraing Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFC Seraing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: RFC Seraing scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Leuven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Leuven has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RFC Seraing VS Leuven
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFC Seraing

(Home)
14 Aug
RFC Seraing
0 : 2
Sporting Lokeren
08 Aug
Eupen
1 : 3
RFC Seraing
01 Aug
Flenu
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
Page 1 of 6

Leuven

(Away)
15 Aug
Leuven
0 : 3
Club Brugge
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1
Leuven
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1