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RFS 2 vs Augsdaugavas

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
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Match Events

54'
Sub
Churney D. In: Kokins O. O.
Out: Churney D.
55'
Majorovs I.
60'
Sub
Grasmanis Lase M. In: Kirsanovs K.
Out: Grasmanis Lase M.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between RFS 2 and Augsdaugavas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
RFS 2
15%
Draws
21%
Augsdaugavas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Augsdaugavas haven't matched RFS 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans RFS 2's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS 2 Augsdaugavas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.57 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Augsdaugavas
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs RFS 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandzs L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 39 / 100
Augsdaugavas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS 2 Augsdaugavas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsdaugavas has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: RFS 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Augsdaugavas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS 2

(Home)
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
FK Metta
12 : 1
RFS 2
Page 1 of 6

Augsdaugavas

(Away)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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