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RFS 2 vs Augsdaugavas

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
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Match Events

54'
Sub
Churney D. In: Kokins O. O.
Out: Churney D.
55'
Majorovs I.
60'
Sub
Grasmanis Lase M. In: Kirsanovs K.
Out: Grasmanis Lase M.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between RFS 2 and Augsdaugavas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
RFS 2
6%
Draws
4%
Augsdaugavas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RFS 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Augsdaugavas haven't matched RFS 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans RFS 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS 2 Augsdaugavas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Nakotnes liga
RFS 2 vs Augsdaugavas
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Augsdaugavas vs RFS 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandzs L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 83 / 100
Augsdaugavas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS 2 Augsdaugavas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsdaugavas has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: RFS 2 scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

RFS 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Augsdaugavas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS Augsdaugavas
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814