Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

RFS 2

3 - 3

FK Smiltene

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Diomande I.

Assist: Njie H.

23'

Nagasawa M.

Assist: Diomande I.

50'

Nagasawa M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between RFS 2 and FK Smiltene finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

RFS 2

Draws

FK Smiltene

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RFS 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and RFS 2 come out ahead of FK Smiltene on wins alone.
RFS 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

RFS 2 Clean Sheet 17%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RFS 2	FK Smiltene
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	4
Draws	8	7
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Nakotnes liga

RFS 2 vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

3:3

Nov 8, 2025 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs RFS 2

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jul 20, 2025 Nakotnes liga

RFS 2 vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Aug 17, 2024 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs RFS 2

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Apr 21, 2024 Nakotnes liga

RFS 2 vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagasawa M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Diomande I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumins E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lakis R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 84 / 100

FK Smiltene 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RFS 2 FK Smiltene

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

RFS 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

RFS 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS FK Smiltene

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4