Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS 2 vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Abrants K.
65' Event
Stadnik Y. A.
89' Event
Grazis A.

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
RFS 2
15%
Draws
68%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Riga Mariners have won more games recently than RFS 2.
  • Riga Mariners are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Riga Mariners have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS 2 Riga Mariners
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 22
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.62 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs RFS 2
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Riga Mariners
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs RFS 2
4:3
Jul 5, 2025 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Riga Mariners
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrants K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Stadnik Y. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grazis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS 2 Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

RFS 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Riga Mariners let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

RFS 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS Riga Mariners
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS 2

(Home)
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
FK Metta
12 : 1
RFS 2
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Riga Mariners

(Away)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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