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RFS vs FK Liepaja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
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Match Events

8'
Isajevs V.
56'
Ogunniyi A.
64'
Sub
Crysthyan In: Almazbekov B.
Out: Crysthyan

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between RFS and FK Liepaja finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
RFS
35%
Draws
28%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans RFS's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 17%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS FK Liepaja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Liepaja
0:0
Jun 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs RFS
0:2
May 8, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Liepaja
5:0
Mar 13, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs RFS
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs RFS
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 41 / 100
FK Liepaja 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Liepaja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: RFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS FK Liepaja
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

FK Liepaja

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)