Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass

RFS

3 - 3

Riga FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Diomande I.

13'

Ikaunieks J.

Assist: Savalnieks R.

16'

Diomande I.

Assist: Ikaunieks J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

RFS

39%

Draws

31%

Riga FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to RFS lately — more wins on the board than Riga FC.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

RFS Clean Sheet 68%

Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RFS	Riga FC
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	22	20
Draws	3	4
Losses	3	3
Goals Scored	2.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga

Riga FC vs RFS

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Apr 28, 2026 Virsliga

RFS vs Riga FC

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

3:3

Nov 7, 2025 Virsliga

Riga FC vs RFS

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

3:4

Sep 25, 2025 Virsliga

RFS vs Riga FC

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Jun 18, 2025 Virsliga

Riga FC vs RFS

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikaunieks J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diomande I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Varslavans R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Badamosi M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 41 / 100

Riga FC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RFS Riga FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

RFS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Riga FC has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Riga FC

2.5 Goals Scored 2.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	22	18	2	2	54:16	56
2	Riga FC	22	17	4	1	65:19	55
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
5	BFC Daugavpils	22	7	6	9	25:29	27
6	Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24:38	25
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23:35	24
8	Grobina	22	4	8	10	15:33	20
9	Tukums 2000	22	3	8	11	37:44	17
10	Ogre United	22	3	4	15	21:55	13