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Rhayader vs Conwy Borough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Rhayader and Conwy Borough finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rhayader
15%
Draws
42%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rhayader

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Conwy Borough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rhayader are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 15%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhayader Conwy Borough
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1.06 2
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Conwy Borough
0:5
Apr 9, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Conwy Borough vs Rhayader
10:0
Feb 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Conwy Borough vs Rhayader
3:2
Oct 25, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Conwy Borough
1:1
Mar 22, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Conwy Borough
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhayader 35 / 100
Conwy Borough 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhayader Conwy Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Rhayader scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Conwy Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Conwy Borough lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rhayader VS Conwy Borough
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhayader

(Home)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

Conwy Borough

(Away)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)