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Rhayader vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2014/2015
Rhayader Logo

Rhayader

1 - 4
FT
Porthmadog Logo

Porthmadog

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Rhayader and Porthmadog finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rhayader
15%
Draws
65%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Porthmadog carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Porthmadog taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 10%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhayader Porthmadog
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 6 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Porthmadog
0:2
Aug 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhayader
0:1
Mar 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Porthmadog
1:4
Nov 22, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhayader
2:2
Apr 9, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhayader
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhayader 10 / 100
Porthmadog 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhayader Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rhayader scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Porthmadog has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rhayader remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rhayader VS Porthmadog
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhayader

(Home)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

Porthmadog

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)