Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax

USA USA

USL Championship Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Jaaskelainen E.
33'
Kwizera J.
45'
Smith K.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Rhode Island and Sporting Jax finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rhode Island
15%
Draws
39%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rhode Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Jax haven't matched Rhode Island's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rhode Island's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhode Island Sporting Jax
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.66 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Rhode Island
0:3
Mar 14, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Rhode Island vs Sporting Jax
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhode Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsey L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sporting Jax Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedder R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhode Island 95 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhode Island Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhode Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhode Island's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Jax conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rhode Island remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rhode Island VS Sporting Jax
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhode Island

(Home)
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1
Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1
Monterey Bay
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Jax

(Away)
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3
Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 24 14 6 4 41:23 48
2 Charleston 24 12 4 8 49:31 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 11 5 9 28:25 38
4 Detroit City 23 10 7 6 28:19 37
5 Hartford Athletic 24 9 10 5 26:23 37
6 Indy Eleven 23 9 6 8 32:28 33
7 Louisville City 24 9 6 9 39:39 33
8 Rhode Island 22 9 5 8 34:24 32
9 Miami FC 24 5 9 10 28:42 24
10 Birmingham Legion 23 3 11 9 32:38 20
11 Loudoun United 23 3 11 9 26:40 20
12 Brooklyn FC 23 4 5 14 23:43 17
13 Sporting Jax 25 3 5 17 30:65 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 24 13 4 7 41:30 43
2 New Mexico 23 12 6 5 37:27 42
3 Colorado Springs 24 11 4 9 40:37 37
4 FC Tulsa 23 10 6 7 27:21 36
5 Sacramento Republic 23 9 9 5 30:20 36
6 San Antonio FC 24 9 9 6 29:28 36
7 Orange County SC 24 9 9 6 34:34 36
8 Lexington 24 10 4 10 37:30 34
9 Phoenix Rising 24 8 9 7 34:32 33
10 Las Vegas Lights 24 9 5 10 31:34 32
11 Oakland Roots 24 6 9 9 29:35 27
12 Monterey Bay 24 4 6 14 25:42 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)