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Rhydymwyn vs Caernarfon

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

Rhydymwyn in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rhydymwyn
15%
Draws
85%
Caernarfon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Caernarfon have won more games recently than Rhydymwyn.
  • Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Caernarfon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rhydymwyn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rhydymwyn Clean Sheet 17%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhydymwyn Caernarfon
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 0 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Rhydymwyn vs Caernarfon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhydymwyn 10 / 100
Caernarfon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhydymwyn Caernarfon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhydymwyn's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Caernarfon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Away concern: Caernarfon has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caernarfon
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhydymwyn

(Home)
21 Sept
Llannefydd
1 : 0
Rhydymwyn
14 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 0
Rhydymwyn
19 Oct
Nantlle Vale FC
2 : 0
Rhydymwyn
20 Oct
Llay Welfare
2 : 0
Rhydymwyn
04 Oct
Rhydymwyn
0 : 3
Meliden
Page 1 of 3

Caernarfon

(Away)
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5
Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3