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Rhyl vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

League Cup Belle Vue, Rhyl
Rhyl Logo

Rhyl

Sat, Aug 2, 2025
2 - 3
01:00 PM
Denbigh Logo

Denbigh

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Brown N.
67'
Hewitt R.
67'
Hewitt R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rhyl
20%
Draws
30%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rhyl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Rhyl have won more games recently than Denbigh.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rhyl have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rhyl, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 13%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rhyl Denbigh
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Rhyl
1:3
Mar 27, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Denbigh
3:0
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Rhyl
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Rhyl vs Denbigh
2:3
Apr 5, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Denbigh
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rhyl Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latter L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rhyl 30 / 100
Denbigh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rhyl Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhyl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Denbigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rhyl stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rhyl VS Denbigh
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rhyl

(Home)
03 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 3
Brickfield Rangers
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

Denbigh

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2