Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riachao vs Estanciano EC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Riachao Logo

Riachao

0 - 3
FT
Estanciano EC Logo

Estanciano EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Riachao and Estanciano EC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estanciano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Riachao
15%
Draws
80%
Estanciano EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estanciano EC come out ahead of Riachao on wins alone.
  • Estanciano EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Riachao Clean Sheet 10%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riachao Estanciano EC
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Sergipano 3
Riachao vs Estanciano EC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riachao 10 / 100
Estanciano EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riachao Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estanciano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Riachao scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Riachao has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riachao VS Estanciano EC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riachao

(Home)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Riachao
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
02 Oct
CS Maruinense
1 : 0
Riachao
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
Page 1 of 3

Estanciano EC

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)