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Ribadeo FC vs CD Choco

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015 game between Ribadeo FC and CD Choco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ribadeo FC
15%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ribadeo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Choco haven't matched Ribadeo FC's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ribadeo FC taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ribadeo FC Clean Sheet 20%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribadeo FC CD Choco
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.15 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadeo FC vs CD Choco
3:1
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Ribadeo FC
3:0
May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadeo FC vs CD Choco
1:1
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Ribadeo FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribadeo FC 42 / 100
CD Choco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribadeo FC CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CD Choco has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ribadeo FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Choco
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribadeo FC

(Home)
15 May
Ribadeo FC
0 : 0
Noia
08 May
Alondras
4 : 1
Ribadeo FC
01 May
Ribadeo FC
1 : 4
Rapido de Bouzas
24 Apr
Ribadeo FC
3 : 2
Arosa SC
17 Apr
CD Boiro
3 : 0
Ribadeo FC
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CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontevedra 38 24 7 7 65:25 79
2 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 66:32 71
3 Cerceda 38 18 10 10 64:37 64
4 CD Choco 38 18 8 12 58:39 62
5 Bergantinos 38 16 11 11 46:31 59
6 Ribadeo FC 38 17 7 14 54:64 58
7 Ribadumia 38 16 10 12 56:44 58
8 Alondras 38 15 11 12 43:41 56
9 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 14 10 49:38 56
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 14 10 48:35 56
11 Arosa SC 38 14 12 12 51:42 54
12 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 15 8 15 39:40 53
13 SD Ordenes 38 15 8 15 47:48 53
14 CD AS Pontes 38 13 13 12 48:50 52
15 CD Boiro 38 13 12 13 51:48 51
16 Silva SD 38 13 9 16 44:58 48
17 Xuventu Sanxenxo 38 12 5 21 48:65 41
18 CD Cultural Areas 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 Laracha 38 8 9 21 28:61 33
20 Bertamirans FC 38 1 5 32 26:109 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)