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Ribelle vs Castelvetro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Ribelle Logo

Ribelle

2 - 4
FT
Castelvetro Logo

Castelvetro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Castelvetro in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelvetro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ribelle
35%
Draws
39%
Castelvetro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castelvetro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castelvetro lately — more wins on the board than Ribelle.
  • Win probability leans Ribelle's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 20%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ribelle Castelvetro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Castelvetro
2:4
Oct 2, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Ribelle
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ribelle 76 / 100
Castelvetro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ribelle Castelvetro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castelvetro conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Ribelle's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ribelle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castelvetro
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ribelle

(Home)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
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Castelvetro

(Away)
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0
Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2
Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3
Castelvetro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)