Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Richmond Kickers vs FC Naples

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
O'Connor K.
Assist: Cisneros J.
34'
Sub
Freeman T. In: Richman A.
Out: Freeman T.
43'
Richman A.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Richmond Kickers and FC Naples finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Naples.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Richmond Kickers
28%
Draws
22%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Richmond Kickers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Richmond Kickers haven't matched FC Naples's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Richmond Kickers's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Naples here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 68%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers FC Naples
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs FC Naples
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs FC Naples
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Richmond Kickers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Connor K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 59 / 100
FC Naples 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers FC Naples

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Naples lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Naples has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Richmond Kickers found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS FC Naples
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310