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Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA
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Match Events

2' Event
Torres R.
Assist: Bolma J.
13'
Kanyane G.
26'
Torres R.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Richmond Kickers and Forward Madison finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward Madison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Richmond Kickers
20%
Draws
46%
Forward Madison
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forward Madison come out ahead of Richmond Kickers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Richmond Kickers's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forward Madison have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 12%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Forward Madison
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
1:2
Jul 16, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkland J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munjoma E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 35 / 100
Forward Madison 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Forward Madison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Richmond Kickers's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Forward Madison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Richmond Kickers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS Forward Madison
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
24 Oct
Richmond Kickers
0 : 1
Greenville Triumph
17 Oct
Richmond Kickers
5 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Forward Madison

(Away)
30 Oct
Forward Madison
2 : 1
Spokane Velocity
24 Oct
Forward Madison
0 : 0
Union Omaha
17 Oct
Forward Madison
2 : 0
Portland Hearts of Pine
10 Oct
Westchester SC
3 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 32 20 6 6 74:46 66
2 Union Omaha 32 19 5 8 54:34 62
3 Athletic Club Boise 32 17 7 8 51:41 58
4 Forward Madison 32 16 8 8 54:30 56
5 Spokane Velocity 32 16 6 10 50:44 54
6 One Knoxville 32 15 9 8 52:36 54
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 32 14 5 13 51:45 47
8 FC Naples 32 14 4 14 39:46 46
9 Fort Wayne 32 12 9 11 47:42 45
10 Westchester SC 32 11 7 14 55:51 40
11 Sarasota Paradise 32 11 7 14 49:51 40
12 Corpus Christi FC 32 9 10 13 36:51 37
13 AV Alta FC 32 8 10 14 40:48 34
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 32 8 10 14 48:58 34
15 Greenville Triumph 32 8 6 18 37:60 30
16 New York Cosmos 32 7 6 19 40:66 27
17 Richmond Kickers 32 7 5 20 37:65 26
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)