Sport Picks
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
USA
USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA 
Match Events
2'
2'
Torres R.
Assist: Bolma J.
13'
13'
Kanyane G.
26'
26'
Torres R.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Richmond Kickers and Forward Madison finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward Madison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Forward Madison come out ahead of Richmond Kickers on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Forward Madison have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Richmond Kickers | Forward Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
1:2
Jul 16, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Richmond Kickers Compare
Top Goalscorer Kirkland J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Munjoma E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Richmond Kickers 30 / 100
Forward Madison 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Richmond Kickers Forward Madison
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Richmond Kickers's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Forward Madison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Richmond Kickers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Richmond Kickers VS Forward Madison
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Richmond Kickers
(Home) 29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Aug
Union Omaha
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
05 Aug
Richmond Kickers
2 : 0 New York Cosmos
01 Aug
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
05 Aug
Richmond Kickers
2 : 0 New York Cosmos
01 Aug
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 AV Alta FC
18 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 2 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 4
Forward Madison
(Away) 29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
09 Aug
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
09 Aug
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Forward Madison
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1 Forward Madison
06 Jun
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55:33 | 49 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 46:24 | 47 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:33 | 41 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 44:36 | 38 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 9 | AV Alta FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 34:36 | 32 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28:34 | 30 |
| 11 | FC Naples | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 27:41 | 26 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:38 | 26 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 37:45 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:37 | 23 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30:48 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:45 | 19 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
