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Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One City Stadium, Richmond, VA
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Richmond Kickers host Greenville Triumph in the USL League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Richmond Kickers have averaged 1.21 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Greenville Triumph's 1.03 scored and 1.94 conceded. Past meetings favor Richmond Kickers slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.81) back Richmond Kickers to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Richmond Kickers
15%
Draws
34%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Richmond Kickers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Richmond Kickers come out ahead of Greenville Triumph on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Richmond Kickers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 11%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
1:2
May 9, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
0:3
Jul 20, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
May 2, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph
3:3
Aug 16, 2024 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 74 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Greenville Triumph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Richmond Kickers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Greenville Triumph conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Richmond Kickers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Greenville Triumph has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS Greenville Triumph
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
17 Oct
Richmond Kickers
5 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6

Greenville Triumph

(Away)
17 Oct
Greenville Triumph
0 : 3
Charlotte Independence
14 Oct
Greenville Triumph
4 : 3
Spokane Velocity
11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2
Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 31 20 6 5 73:42 66
2 Union Omaha 31 19 4 8 54:34 61
3 Forward Madison 31 16 7 8 54:30 55
4 Athletic Club Boise 31 16 7 8 49:41 55
5 One Knoxville 32 15 9 8 52:36 54
6 Spokane Velocity 30 16 5 9 47:40 53
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 14 4 13 50:44 46
8 Fort Wayne 31 12 9 10 47:40 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 31 11 6 14 53:49 39
11 Sarasota Paradise 30 11 6 13 45:46 39
12 Corpus Christi FC 31 9 9 13 34:49 36
13 AV Alta FC 31 8 9 14 38:46 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 31 7 10 14 44:57 31
15 Greenville Triumph 31 7 6 18 36:60 27
16 Richmond Kickers 31 7 5 19 37:64 26
17 New York Cosmos 30 7 4 19 36:62 25
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)