Sport Picks
Richmond Kickers vs Loudoun United Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
US Open Cup City Stadium, Richmond, VA 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Niyongabire P. In: Piras L.
Out: Niyongabire P.
57'
57'
Sub
Young S. In: Marcos Dias
Out: Young S.
66'
66'
Sub
Amoh E. In: Ulfarsson T.
Out: Amoh E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Richmond Kickers come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Richmond Kickers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Richmond Kickers, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 USL Cup
Loudoun United vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
Apr 1, 2026 US Open Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Loudoun United
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Loudoun United vs Richmond Kickers
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Loudoun United vs Richmond Kickers
4:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Richmond Kickers vs Loudoun United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Richmond Kickers Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucca Dourado
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Loudoun United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Richmond Kickers 30 / 100
Loudoun United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Richmond Kickers Loudoun United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Loudoun United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Richmond Kickers scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Loudoun United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Loudoun United lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Richmond Kickers VS Loudoun United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Richmond Kickers
(Home) 03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 4
Loudoun United
(Away) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
15 Aug
Detroit City
0 : 0 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
