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Stadium Background

Richmond Kickers vs Penn Football Club

USA USA

USL 2018 City Stadium, Richmond, VA
Richmond Kickers Logo

Richmond Kickers

3 - 2
FT
Penn Football Club Logo

Penn Football Club

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Spangenberg T.
24' Event
Mkosana L.
(Penalty)
26'
Venter K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Richmond Kickers in this USL 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Richmond Kickers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Richmond Kickers
30%
Draws
23%
Penn Football Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Richmond Kickers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Penn Football Club average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Richmond Kickers's 1.21.
  • Richmond Kickers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 68%
Penn Football Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Richmond Kickers Penn Football Club
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 USL Championship
Richmond Kickers vs Penn Football Club
3:2
Jul 9, 2018 USL Championship
Penn Football Club vs Richmond Kickers
1:2
Jun 12, 2018 USL Championship
Penn Football Club vs Richmond Kickers
2:1
May 23, 2018 US Open Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Penn Football Club
3:2
Jul 15, 2017 USL Championship
Penn Football Club vs Richmond Kickers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordovez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Penn Football Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Richmond Kickers 68 / 100
Penn Football Club 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Richmond Kickers Penn Football Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Richmond Kickers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penn Football Club conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Richmond Kickers's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Away concern: Penn Football Club has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Richmond Kickers VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Richmond Kickers

(Home)
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 7

Penn Football Club

(Away)
13 Oct
Penn Football Club
0 : 0
Toronto FC II
09 Oct
Penn Football Club
1 : 3
New York Red Bulls II
03 Oct
Penn Football Club
2 : 2
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Penn Football Club
0 : 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
22 Sept
Penn Football Club
1 : 2
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cincinnati 34 23 8 3 72:34 77
2 Louisville City 34 19 9 6 71:38 66
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 34 15 14 5 47:26 59
4 Charleston 34 14 14 6 47:34 56
5 New York Red Bulls II 34 13 13 8 71:59 52
6 Bethlehem Steel FC 34 14 8 12 56:41 50
7 Indy Eleven 34 13 10 11 45:42 49
8 Nashville SC 34 12 13 9 42:31 49
9 North Carolina FC 34 13 8 13 60:50 47
10 Ottawa Fury 34 13 6 15 31:43 45
11 Charlotte Independence 34 10 12 12 44:57 42
12 Tampa Bay 34 11 8 15 44:44 41
13 Penn Football Club 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
14 Atlanta United 2 34 7 10 17 37:72 31
15 Richmond Kickers 34 6 4 24 30:80 22
16 Toronto FC II 34 4 6 24 42:77 18
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orange County SC 34 20 6 8 70:40 66
2 Sacramento Republic 34 19 8 7 47:32 65
3 Phoenix Rising 34 19 6 9 63:38 63
4 Real Monarchs 34 19 3 12 55:47 60
5 Reno 1868 34 16 11 7 56:38 59
6 Portland Timbers 2 34 17 4 13 58:49 55
7 Sporting Kansas City II 34 15 8 11 52:53 53
8 St. Louis FC 34 14 11 9 44:38 53
9 San Antonio FC 34 14 8 12 45:48 50
10 Oklahoma City Energy FC 34 12 7 15 43:46 43
11 Colorado Springs 34 11 6 17 36:39 39
12 Monterey Bay 34 9 12 13 44:38 39
13 Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 34 8 14 12 36:42 38
14 Ventura County 34 10 7 17 60:67 37
15 Las Vegas Lights 34 8 7 19 50:74 31
16 Tacoma Defiance 34 6 7 21 40:71 25
17 FC Tulsa 34 3 12 19 36:77 21
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL 2018 (Play Offs)