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Stadium Background

Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Boguo J.
90' Event
Frauscher D.

AI Match Summary

Ried (Am) in this Regionalliga Central matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ried (Am).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ried (Am)
15%
Draws
76%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wallern/St Marienkirchen lately — more wins on the board than Ried (Am).
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Wallern/St Marienkirchen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ried (Am) Clean Sheet 10%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried (Am) Wallern/St Marienkirchen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Regionalliga North
Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
0:5
May 10, 2026 Regionalliga Central
Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Ried (Am)
3:3
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Ried (Am)
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Boguo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frauscher D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Wallern/St Marienkirchen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried (Am) 10 / 100
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried (Am) Wallern/St Marienkirchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wallern/St Marienkirchen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ried (Am) scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Wallern/St Marienkirchen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Ried (Am) stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried (Am) VS Wallern/St Marienkirchen
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried (Am)

(Home)
03 Oct
Wals-Grunau
2 : 2
Ried (Am)
26 Sept
Ried (Am)
0 : 4
Seekirchen
19 Sept
Johann
3 : 1
Ried (Am)
12 Sept
Ried (Am)
0 : 5
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
04 Sept
Pinzgau Saalfelden
2 : 0
Ried (Am)
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Wallern/St Marienkirchen

(Away)
03 Oct
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
3 : 1
UFC Hallein
18 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2 : 0
Union Gurten
12 Sept
Ried (Am)
0 : 5
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
08 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 2
Wals-Grunau
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASK Voitsberg 30 26 2 2 113:21 80
2 Union Gurten 30 20 4 6 59:28 64
3 LASK Linz (Am) 30 15 6 9 66:44 51
4 Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 30 14 9 7 60:52 51
5 SC Kalsdorf 30 15 4 11 59:53 49
6 Atus Velden 30 13 7 10 50:47 46
7 Lafnitz 30 12 6 12 55:60 42
8 Wallern/St Marienkirchen 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
9 SC Weiz 30 10 9 11 61:66 39
10 Wolfsberger AC (Am) 30 9 7 14 45:46 34
11 Dietach 30 9 5 16 33:57 32
12 Gleisdorf 30 7 9 14 43:72 30
13 Ried (Am) 30 7 4 19 41:72 25
14 Treibach 30 7 3 20 35:71 24
15 Weindorf St. Anna 30 2 5 23 22:76 11
16 ASKO Oedt 30 15 10 5 62:32 55
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)