Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ried (Am) play Wallern/St Marienkirchen in the Regionalliga Central. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ried (Am) averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Wallern/St Marienkirchen averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Ried (Am) won 3, Wallern/St Marienkirchen won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Ried (Am) and 1.50 for Wallern/St Marienkirchen. This points to a Wallern/St Marienkirchen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ried (Am)
16%
Draws
49%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Ried (Am) picked up more points recently compared to Wallern/St Marienkirchen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Ried (Am) Clean Sheet 16%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried (Am) Wallern/St Marienkirchen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Regionalliga Central
Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Ried (Am)
3:3
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Ried (Am) vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Ried (Am)
4:0
May 31, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Ried (Am)
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Boguo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frauscher D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Wallern/St Marienkirchen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried (Am) 35 / 100
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried (Am) Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wallern/St Marienkirchen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ried (Am) attacking → ← attacking Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried (Am) scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Wallern/St Marienkirchen let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ried (Am) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Wallern/St Marienkirchen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 44
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ASK Voitsberg302622113:2180
2Union Gurten30204659:2864
3LASK Linz (Am)30156966:4451
4Deutschlandsberger Wonisch30149760:5251
5SC Kalsdorf301541159:5349
6Atus Velden301371050:4746
7Lafnitz301261255:6042
8Wallern/St Marienkirchen301241444:5140
9SC Weiz301091161:6639
10Wolfsberger AC (Am)30971445:4634
11Dietach30951633:5732
12Gleisdorf30791443:7230
13Ried (Am)30741941:7225
14Treibach30732035:7124
15Weindorf St. Anna30252322:7611
16ASKO Oedt301510562:3255