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Ried vs Hogo Hertha Wels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
55' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ried and Hogo Hertha Wels finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ried.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ried
30%
Draws
23%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hogo Hertha Wels haven't matched Ried's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ried taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ried have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ried Clean Sheet 15%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Ried vs Hogo Hertha Wels
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Ried
1:2
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Ried vs Hogo Hertha Wels
4:0
Jul 22, 2023 OFB Cup
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Ried
1:3
Aug 31, 2022 OFB Cup
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Ried
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 84 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ried scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ried went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Hogo Hertha Wels
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
02 Oct
Ried
3 : 3
Amstetten
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
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Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
Admira
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