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Ried vs RW Essen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rhodes J.
59' Event
Bajic A.
86' Event
Sissoko P.

AI Match Summary

Ried in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ried.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ried
15%
Draws
26%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ried haven't matched RW Essen's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Ried taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried RW Essen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.34 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Ried vs RW Essen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Rhodes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bajic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

RW Essen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 83 / 100
RW Essen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

RW Essen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ried went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS RW Essen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
09 Aug
Ried
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna
02 Aug
A. Lustenau
1 : 1
Ried
24 Jul
Dornbirn
1 : 5
Ried
18 Jul
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ried
17 Jul
Ried
3 : 0
RW Essen
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RW Essen

(Away)
09 Aug
Saarbrucken
5 : 2
RW Essen
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0
RW Essen
25 Jul
RW Essen
1 : 2
B. Monchengladbach
17 Jul
Ried
3 : 0
RW Essen
11 Jul
RW Essen
5 : 1
SW Essen
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