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Stadium Background

Ried vs Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Innviertel Arena, Ried
Ried Logo

Ried

1 - 1
FT
Salzburg Logo

Salzburg

Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Sub
Sissoko P. In: Boguo J.
Out: Sissoko P.
58'
Sub
Vertessen Y. In: Lindstrom J.
Out: Vertessen Y.
64'
Kitano S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ried
30%
Draws
39%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salzburg lately — more wins on the board than Ried.
  • Salzburg are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Salzburg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.72 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Salzburg
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Ried
4:1
Aug 2, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Salzburg
2:2
Oct 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Ried
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Ried
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Pomer P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 10 / 100
Salzburg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salzburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ried went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Salzburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Salzburg
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
02 Oct
Ried
3 : 3
Amstetten
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
Page 1 of 6

Salzburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)