Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Innviertel Arena, Ried
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Wohlmuth F.
46'
Sub
Kojzek E. In: Chukwu E.
Out: Kojzek E.
58'
Wimmer N.

AI Match Summary

Ried in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ried
20%
Draws
23%
Wolfsberger AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wolfsberger AC at 2.45 per game, Ried at 1.67.
  • Win probability leans Ried's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ried, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ried Clean Sheet 68%
Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Wolfsberger AC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
4:1
May 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
2:1
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Ried
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutandwa K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Wolfsberger AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulzner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 95 / 100
Wolfsberger AC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Wolfsberger AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Wolfsberger AC has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ried stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Wolfsberger AC
2 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
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Wolfsberger AC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
12 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 3
Rapid Vienna
06 Sept
Parndorf
2 : 3
Wolfsberger AC
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 3
LASK Linz
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rapid Vienna -
TBD -
Ried 2
Wolfsberger AC 1
Final
Rapid Vienna 4
Ried 2