Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Innviertel Arena, Ried
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Wohlmuth F.
46'
Sub
Kojzek E. In: Chukwu E.
Out: Kojzek E.
58'
Wimmer N.

AI Match Summary

Ried in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ried
22%
Draws
60%
Wolfsberger AC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wolfsberger AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wolfsberger AC at 4.38 per game, Ried at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Wolfsberger AC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ried, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%
Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ried Wolfsberger AC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.75 4.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
2:1
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Ried
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Bundesliga
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC vs Ried
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutandwa K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wolfsberger AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulzner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.98
Avg xA / game 2.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ried 18 / 100
Wolfsberger AC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ried Wolfsberger AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Wolfsberger AC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ried stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ried VS Wolfsberger AC
1.75 Goals Scored 4.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ried

(Home)
18 Jul
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ried
17 Jul
Ried
3 : 0
RW Essen
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1
Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1
Basaksehir
03 Jul
Ried
2 : 4
Regensburg
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Wolfsberger AC

(Away)
17 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
6 : 1
Kapfenberg
13 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1
Hradec Kralove
10 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
3 : 3
FC Kharkiv
03 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
8 : 2
Admira
30 Jun
Zeleznicar Pancevo
0 : 2
Wolfsberger AC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rapid Vienna-
TBD-
Ried2
Wolfsberger AC1
Final
Rapid Vienna4
Ried2