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Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mandeke A.
22' Event
Mandeke A.
38' Event
Nazarovs D.
Assist: Prudchenko N.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC 2 in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Riga FC 2
6%
Draws
4%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 have won more games recently than JFK Ventspils.
  • Riga FC 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 18%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
4:2
Oct 19, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Jun 13, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandeke A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nazarovs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Liepajnieks V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 85 / 100
JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Riga FC 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

JFK Ventspils has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Riga FC 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS JFK Ventspils
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
04 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3
Riga FC 2
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
23 May
Rezekne
2 : 1
Riga FC 2
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JFK Ventspils

(Away)
18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
11 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
JFK Ventspils
04 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 1
JFK Ventspils
28 Jun
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Valmiera
20 Jun
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta13111146:1134
2Valmiera13102135:1232
3Riga Mariners1384126:1228
4Leevon PPK1383222:1627
5Alberts JDFS1372428:2123
6Marupe1361622:1919
7Riga FC 21361621:2319
8Super Nova 21354420:1919
9Skanste1341820:2713
10Tukums 2000 21332818:3111
11JFK Ventspils1324716:2310
12RFS 21323815:289
13FK Smiltene1314813:337
14Rezekne13121010:375
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