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Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mandeke A.
22' Event
Mandeke A.
38' Event
Nazarovs D.
Assist: Prudchenko N.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC 2 in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Riga FC 2
35%
Draws
26%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 have won more games recently than JFK Ventspils.
  • Riga FC 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 16%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC 2
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
4:2
Oct 19, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Jun 13, 2025 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs JFK Ventspils
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandeke A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nazarovs D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Liepajnieks V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 84 / 100
JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: JFK Ventspils conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Riga FC 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Riga FC 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS JFK Ventspils
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6

JFK Ventspils

(Away)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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