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Riga FC 2 vs Marupe

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Nakotnes liga
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Match Events

61' Event
Minasyan A.
Assist: Korsaks K.
67'
Sylla A.
77' Event
Korsaks K.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Riga FC 2 and Marupe finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Riga FC 2
6%
Draws
4%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Riga FC 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Marupe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
1:0
May 11, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Riga FC 2
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Riga FC 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsaks K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Minasyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 83 / 100
Marupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Riga FC 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Riga FC 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS Marupe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
04 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
27 Jun
RFS 2
1 : 3
Riga FC 2
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
23 May
Rezekne
2 : 1
Riga FC 2
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Marupe

(Away)
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Marupe
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta13111146:1134
2Valmiera13102135:1232
3Riga Mariners1384126:1228
4Leevon PPK1383222:1627
5Alberts JDFS1372428:2123
6Marupe1361622:1919
7Riga FC 21361621:2319
8Super Nova 21354420:1919
9Skanste1341820:2713
10Tukums 2000 21332818:3111
11JFK Ventspils1324716:2310
12RFS 21323815:289
13FK Smiltene1314813:337
14Rezekne13121010:375
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