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Riga FC 2 vs Marupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Minasyan A.
Assist: Korsaks K.
67'
Sylla A.
77' Event
Korsaks K.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Riga FC 2 and Marupe finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Riga FC 2
35%
Draws
35%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC 2's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Marupe have produced (1.48).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC 2 Marupe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Riga FC 2
0:0
May 17, 2026 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
1:0
May 11, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Riga FC 2
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Marupe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsaks K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Minasyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 2 31 / 100
Marupe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Riga FC 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Riga FC 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC 2 VS Marupe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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