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Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

1 - 1
FT
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Caio Ferreira
46'
Sub
Ayebadiepreye D. In: Traore A.
Out: Ayebadiepreye D.
53' Event
Traore A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Riga FC
35%
Draws
10%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • BFC Daugavpils haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 19%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 24 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
Jun 25, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC
0:0
May 8, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils
4:2
Sep 29, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Siqueira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 31 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Riga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BFC Daugavpils let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS BFC Daugavpils
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
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BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)