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Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Cup Mardan Sports Complex, Antalya
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

4 - 1
FT
FK Auda Riga Logo

FK Auda Riga

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ankrah A.
15' Event
Reginaldo Ramires
Assist: Jurkovskis R.
27'
Sub
Daskevics E. In: Fofana W.
Out: Daskevics E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Riga FC
35%
Draws
32%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC have won more games recently than FK Auda Riga.
  • Model gives Riga FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Riga FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Riga FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 15%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 29 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.64 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
2:2
Jun 29, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC
0:2
May 12, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC
1:2
Feb 17, 2026 Super Cup
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reginaldo Ramires
2 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerold J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 41 / 100
FK Auda Riga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC scored in 92% of their last 39 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Riga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Auda Riga has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS FK Auda Riga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 8

FK Auda Riga

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Riga FC 4
FK Auda Riga 1