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Riga FC vs Ogre

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1. Liga 2015
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

3 - 2
FT
Ogre Logo

Ogre

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2015 game between Riga FC and Ogre finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Riga FC
22%
Draws
20%
Ogre
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ogre haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Riga FC a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ogre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC Ogre
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 21 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 1. Liga
Riga FC vs Ogre
3:2
Jun 28, 2015 1. Liga
Ogre vs Riga FC
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 49 / 100
Ogre 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC Ogre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Riga FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ogre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

Ogre

(Away)
25 Jun
RTU
6 : 1
Ogre
05 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 1
Ogre
29 Oct
Ogre
3 : 0
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
22 Oct
Valmiera
5 : 0
Ogre

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riga FC 30 27 3 0 142:14 84
2 Valmiera 30 24 3 3 89:33 75
3 RFS 30 24 2 4 94:25 74
4 FK 1625 Liepaja 30 18 7 5 92:39 61
5 FK Auda Riga 30 13 9 8 62:43 48
6 Rezekne 30 14 3 13 56:66 45
7 Tukums 2000 30 13 3 14 65:70 42
8 AFA Olaine 30 9 9 12 41:49 36
9 Alberts JDFS 30 11 2 17 35:56 35
10 Ogre 30 9 6 15 52:70 33
11 Jekabpils SC 30 9 3 18 46:99 30
12 Salaspils FK 30 8 6 16 31:57 30
13 Bebri 30 8 3 19 42:84 27
14 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 30 7 3 20 22:59 24
15 FK Smiltene 30 6 4 20 52:97 22
16 Preilu BJSS 30 4 6 20 40:100 18
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