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Riga FC vs RFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riga FC host RFS in the Virsliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Riga FC have averaged 2.26 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against RFS's 2.29 scored and 0.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Riga FC have won 2 to RFS's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.69) back Riga FC to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Riga FC
30%
Draws
27%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC have managed 2.26 goals a game lately — RFS are scoring more at 2.29.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 13%
RFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC RFS
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 2.26 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Riga FC
2:3
Aug 23, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
2:1
Apr 28, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Nov 7, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 30 / 100
RFS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Riga FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS RFS
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Tukums 2000
0 : 2
Riga FC
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
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RFS

(Away)
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2
Jelgava
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)