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Riga FC vs Super Nova

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Oulad M'Hand S.
26'
Ndiaye I.
29' Event
Caio Ferreira
Assist: Diop M.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Riga FC
17%
Draws
13%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga FC lately — more wins on the board than Super Nova.
  • Win probability leans Riga FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riga FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC Super Nova
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 21 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Riga FC
0:0
May 24, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Super Nova
3:0
Apr 14, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Riga FC
1:4
Aug 30, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Riga FC
2:6
Jun 22, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Super Nova
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Ferreira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diop M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 77 / 100
Super Nova 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Super Nova has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Riga FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS Super Nova
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 1
Tukums 2000
14 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
10 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 3
Riga FC
07 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Riga FC
03 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 0
Jelgava
Page 1 of 6

Super Nova

(Away)
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
06 Jul
Super Nova
1 : 2
Ogre United
01 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
25 Jun
Super Nova
1 : 5
Jelgava
21 Jun
Super Nova
0 : 2
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riga FC23184168:2058
2RFS22182254:1656
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4BFC Daugavpils2386929:2930
5FK Liepaja22841028:3428
6Jelgava2267924:3825
7Super Nova22731223:3524
8Grobina22481015:3320
9Tukums 200023381238:4717
10Ogre United23341621:5913
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)