Sport Picks
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
Latvia
Latvian Cup Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga 
Match Events
75'
75'
Pavlovskis A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Alberts JDFS.
- Model gives Riga Mariners a 49% chance of winning this.
- Riga Mariners have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Riga Mariners have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 14%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Alberts JDFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners
0:4
Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Riga Mariners Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavlovskis A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Alberts JDFS Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Riga Mariners 75 / 100
Alberts JDFS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Riga Mariners Alberts JDFS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Riga Mariners scored in 97% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Alberts JDFS let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Riga Mariners has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Riga Mariners VS Alberts JDFS
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Riga Mariners
(Home) 19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4 Riga Mariners
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1 Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0 Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1 RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3 Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0 Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1 RFS 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2 Tukums 2000 2
25 Jul
Riga Mariners
1 : 1 JFK Ventspils
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 4
Alberts JDFS
(Away) 19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3 FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2 Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2 FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2 Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3 Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2 Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3 Alberts JDFS
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1 Alberts JDFS
18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3 Alberts JDFS
27 Jun
Rezekne
2 : 4 Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
