Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Riga Mariners

6 - 0

Rezekne

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Grazis A.

Assist: Pavlovskis A.

45'

Caune M.

Assist: Grazis A.

49'

Rahman A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Riga Mariners and Rezekne finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Riga Mariners

Draws

Rezekne

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Rezekne haven't matched Riga Mariners's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Riga Mariners here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 20%

Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga Mariners	Rezekne
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	6
Draws	7	6
Losses	4	17
Goals Scored	3	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Oct 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga Mariners vs Rezekne

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

6:0

Jun 14, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Caune M.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 85 / 100

Rezekne 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga Mariners Rezekne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga Mariners found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Rezekne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Riga Mariners stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS Rezekne

3 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14