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Riga Mariners vs Tammeka Tartu

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Riga Mariners
15%
Draws
28%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Tammeka Tartu.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Riga Mariners taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 15%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga Mariners Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Riga Mariners vs Tammeka Tartu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 84 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga Mariners Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga Mariners found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Tammeka Tartu let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Riga Mariners stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS Tammeka Tartu
3.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
86% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
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Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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