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Riga United vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Korsaks K.
Assist: Cebotarjovs V.
62' Event
Sadovnikovs R.
67' Event
Oliynyk M.

AI Match Summary

The Latvian Cup 2025 game between Riga United and Marupe finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Riga United
39%
Draws
31%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Riga United haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cup games in Latvian Cup 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Riga United Clean Sheet 19%
Marupe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga United Marupe
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Latvian Cup
Riga United vs Marupe
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsaks K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadovnikovs R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga United 31 / 100
Marupe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga United Marupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga United scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Riga United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marupe
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Alberts-
Riga United-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
Iecava-
TBD-
TBD-
Kekava-Auda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Viola-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skanste-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Kuivizu Spartaks-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciema Warriors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga Mariners-
Valmiera8
FK Limbazi0
TBD-
FK Cesis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
Plavinas-
TBD-
TBD-
Namejs-
Rigas Futbola Skola-
TBD-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Augsdaugavas-
RSU-
TBD-
TBD-
LSPA-
Kuldigas/Goldingen-
TBD-
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Dienvidkurzemes-
TBD-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Talsi1
Aliance5
TBD-
Valka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/64-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks4
FK Alberts3
Riga United6
SK Babite0
Iecava1
Kekava-Auda2
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani4
JFC Viola0
TBD-
Skanste-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Kuivizu Spartaks0
Upesciema Warriors5
TBD-
Riga Mariners-
Valmiera6
FK Cesis0
TBD-
Ogre United-
Plavinas4
Namejs0
Rigas Futbola Skola8
Bauskas / Memele0
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
Augsdaugavas-
RSU5
LSPA1
Kuldigas/Goldingen2
Salaspils FK3
Dienvidkurzemes3
DSVK Traktors0
TBD-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava5
Lielupe0
TBD-
Rezekne-
Aliance9
Valka1
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/32-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks0
Riga United3
Kekava-Auda0
Marupe3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani0
Skanste5
Alberts JDFS5
FK Smiltene3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Upesciema Warriors0
Riga Mariners3
Valmiera4
Ogre United3
Plavinas3
Rigas Futbola Skola2
AFA Olaine3
Augsdaugavas1
RSU0
Salaspils FK6
Dienvidkurzemes1
Leevon PPK2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava4
Rezekne0
Aliance0
JFK Ventspils6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/16-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Riga United0
Marupe3
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Skanste1
Alberts JDFS2
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Riga Mariners4
Valmiera3
Plavinas3
AFA Olaine5
Salaspils FK4
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava1
JFK Ventspils3
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/8-finals
Jelgava0
RFS1
Marupe1
FK Metta4
FK Auda Riga1
Grobina0
Alberts JDFS1
Super Nova3
Riga FC4
Tukums 20000
Riga Mariners6
AFA Olaine1
Leevon PPK2
BFC Daugavpils4
JFK Ventspils0
FK Liepaja2
Quarter-finals
RFS3
FK Metta2
FK Auda Riga3
Super Nova1
Riga FC10
Riga Mariners0
BFC Daugavpils1
FK Liepaja2
Semi-finals
RFS0
FK Auda Riga2
Riga FC4
FK Liepaja0
Final
FK Auda Riga2
Riga FC1