Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025

Riga United

0 - 3

Marupe

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Korsaks K.

Assist: Cebotarjovs V.

62'

Sadovnikovs R.

67'

Oliynyk M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Marupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Riga United

15%

Draws

34%

Marupe

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Riga United haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Marupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Marupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Riga United Clean Sheet 15%

Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga United	Marupe
Matches Played	17	30
Wins	6	13
Draws	0	2
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	2.06	1.63
Goals Conceded	3	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.35	1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Latvian Cup

Riga United vs Marupe

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04

Avg xA / game 0.68

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsaks K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sadovnikovs R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.41

Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga United 30 / 100

Marupe 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga United Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Marupe let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Riga United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marupe

0 Goals Scored 2

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga United

(Home)

21 Jun

Riga United

0 : 3

Marupe

01 Jun

Speks

0 : 3

Riga United

18 May

Riga United

6 : 0

SK Babite

29 May

LSPA

2 : 0

Riga United

19 May

Riga United

3 : 2

Kadaga/Ostas

Page 1 of 4

Marupe

(Away)

12 Sept

Marupe

5 : 0

Tukums 2000 2

29 Aug

Marupe

0 : 2

Alberts JDFS

22 Aug

Valmiera

4 : 1

Marupe

15 Aug

Marupe

2 : 1

Super Nova 2

08 Aug

Marupe

0 : 1

Leevon PPK

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Riga United -

TBD -

SK Babite -

Iecava -

TBD -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani -

TBD -

JFC Viola -

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 8

FK Limbazi 0

TBD -

FK Cesis -

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Namejs -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU -

TBD -

LSPA -

Kuldigas/Goldingen -

TBD -

Salaspils FK -

Dienvidkurzemes -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava -

TBD -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Talsi 1

Aliance 5

TBD -

Valka -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 4

FK Alberts 3

Riga United 6

SK Babite 0

Iecava 1

Kekava-Auda 2

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 4

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

Upesciema Warriors 5

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 6

FK Cesis 0

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas 4

Namejs 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 8

Bauskas / Memele 0

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU 5

LSPA 1

Kuldigas/Goldingen 2

Salaspils FK 3

Dienvidkurzemes 3

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 5

Lielupe 0

TBD -

Rezekne -

Aliance 9

Valka 1

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 0

Riga United 3

Kekava-Auda 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 0

Skanste 5

Alberts JDFS 5

FK Smiltene 3

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Upesciema Warriors 0

Riga Mariners 3

Valmiera 4

Ogre United 3

Plavinas 3

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

AFA Olaine 3

Augsdaugavas 1

RSU 0

Salaspils FK 6

Dienvidkurzemes 1

Leevon PPK 2

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 4

Rezekne 0

Aliance 0

JFK Ventspils 6

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Riga United 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Skanste 1

Alberts JDFS 2

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Riga Mariners 4

Valmiera 3

Plavinas 3

AFA Olaine 5

Salaspils FK 4

Leevon PPK 5

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 1

JFK Ventspils 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 0

RFS 1

Marupe 1

FK Metta 4

FK Auda Riga 1

Grobina 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Super Nova 3

Riga FC 4

Tukums 2000 0

Riga Mariners 6

AFA Olaine 1

Leevon PPK 2

BFC Daugavpils 4

JFK Ventspils 0

FK Liepaja 2

Quarter-finals

RFS 3

FK Metta 2

FK Auda Riga 3

Super Nova 1

Riga FC 10

Riga Mariners 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Liepaja 2

Semi-finals

RFS 0

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 0

Final

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 1

Riga United vs Marupe

Latvia

Riga United

Marupe

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Riga United Compare

Marupe Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Riga United

Marupe

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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