Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rignanese vs Virtus Castelfranco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virtus Castelfranco in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Castelfranco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rignanese
20%
Draws
47%
Virtus Castelfranco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus Castelfranco haven't matched Rignanese's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rignanese Clean Sheet 18%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rignanese Virtus Castelfranco
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Rignanese vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:3
Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Rignanese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rignanese 32 / 100
Virtus Castelfranco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rignanese Virtus Castelfranco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rignanese's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Virtus Castelfranco conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rignanese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rignanese VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rignanese

(Home)
20 May
Rignanese
0 : 2
Scandicci
06 May
Rignanese
0 : 3
Argentina
29 Apr
Ligorna
0 : 3
Rignanese
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1
Rignanese
Page 1 of 7

Virtus Castelfranco

(Away)
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3
Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1
Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3
Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)