Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka

2 - 0

HNK Gorica

Our Tip

Match Events

55'

Moustapha H. I.

58'

Sub

Pavicic D. In: Epailly T.

Out: Pavicic D.

58'

Sub

Kucis S. In: Bakic O.

Out: Kucis S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2025/2026 game between Rijeka and HNK Gorica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijeka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Rijeka

28%

Draws

22%

HNK Gorica

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Rijeka come out ahead of HNK Gorica on wins alone.
Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular HNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Rijeka here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Rijeka Clean Sheet 20%

HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rijeka	HNK Gorica
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	16	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.5	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 HNL

Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Mar 22, 2026 HNL

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Dec 21, 2025 HNL

Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 5, 2025 HNL

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

May 4, 2025 HNL

Rijeka vs HNK Gorica

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Gojak A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

HNK Gorica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 49 / 100

HNK Gorica 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rijeka HNK Gorica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rijeka went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rijeka found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

HNK Gorica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS HNK Gorica

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

0.5 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28