Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rijeka vs Omonia

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tankovic M.
Assist: Mmaee R.
17'
Sub
Barisic T. In: Petrovic D.
Out: Barisic T.
25'
Ewandro

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Rijeka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Rijeka
20%
Draws
28%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Omonia are scoring more at 1.93.
  • Model gives Rijeka a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 68%
Omonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka Omonia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Conference League
Rijeka vs Omonia
3:1
Feb 19, 2026 Conference League
Omonia vs Rijeka
0:1
Jul 27, 2006 Europa League
Omonia vs Rijeka
2:1
Jul 13, 2006 Europa League
Rijeka vs Omonia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Fruk T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adu Adjei D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tankovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 59 / 100
Omonia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Rijeka remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rijeka's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Omonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Omonia
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0
Ilves
02 Aug
Rijeka
2 : 1
Rudes
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1
Rijeka
23 Jul
Rijeka
1 : 0
Derry City
16 Jul
Rijeka
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
Page 1 of 6

Omonia

(Away)
06 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 1
Omonia
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 0
Omonia
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0