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Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Rijeka Logo

Rijeka

2 - 0
FT
Slaven Belupo Logo

Slaven Belupo

Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Devetak M. In: Legbo D.
Out: Devetak M.
63'
Kovacic D.
70'
Sub
Jovic F. In: Sivalec G.
Out: Jovic F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Rijeka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rijeka
30%
Draws
27%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rijeka come out ahead of Slaven Belupo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Rijeka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 16%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Croatian Cup
Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Gojak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Legbo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Slaven Belupo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 84 / 100
Slaven Belupo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Slaven Belupo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slaven Belupo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Rijeka remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rijeka's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Slaven Belupo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

Slaven Belupo

(Away)
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2