Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rijnvogels vs TOGB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOGB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rijnvogels
30%
Draws
12%
TOGB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rijnvogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rijnvogels lately — more wins on the board than TOGB.
  • Model gives Rijnvogels a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TOGB here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 15%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijnvogels TOGB
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs TOGB
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Rijnvogels
2:3
May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Rijnvogels
5:0
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs TOGB
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijnvogels 84 / 100
TOGB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijnvogels TOGB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOGB let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Rijnvogels scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Rijnvogels has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rijnvogels VS TOGB
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijnvogels

(Home)
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0
Rijnvogels
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Gemert
01 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
4 : 2
Rijnvogels
06 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

TOGB

(Away)
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1
TOGB
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3
SV Poortugaal
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0
TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)