Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Rilski Sportist

1 - 0

Balkan Botevgrad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Rilski Sportist

11%

Draws

80%

Balkan Botevgrad

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Balkan Botevgrad haven't matched Rilski Sportist's recent run of results.
Balkan Botevgrad are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 18%

Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rilski Sportist	Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	22	12
Draws	2	9
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.25	1.86
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Jun 4, 2025 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Rilski Sportist

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 23, 2024 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Mar 6, 2024 Third League - South-West

Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 12 / 100

Balkan Botevgrad 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rilski Sportist Balkan Botevgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rilski Sportist scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Balkan Botevgrad has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Rilski Sportist has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Balkan Botevgrad

1.25 Goals Scored 1.86

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29

63% Over 1.5 86%

50% Over 2.5 43%

0% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38